California voter idiot-trap (was: petitions)

There's been an idiot-trap for California voters, in operation for, oh, call it a half-century. The _Los Angeles Times_ just ran a story checking on the 3% of registered California voters currently falling for that trap, highlighting some now-embarrassed celebrities who did the dumb thing. http://static.latimes.com/american-independent-party-california-voters/ It has to do with the concept of 'voting independent', and a minor and extremely far-right party whose name is 'American Independent Party' (hereinafter, 'AIP'). Ah, you're way ahead of me, right? Almost every California voter since 1968 who ever registered AIP, did so in the mistaken belief he/she was registering 'independent'. I've known about this trap for a long time. Here's the way I explained it in 2008 to the Ex-VA Linux Systems mailing list: A few years ago, while researching the "County Political Parties" entries in http://linuxmafia.com/~rick/household.html, I uncovered something that might amuse: Ever wonder about why the "American Independent Party" (ex-George Wallace) remains on all California partisan-office ballots, even though there's been no such party organisation in the state for 30+ years? It's because a Bircher outfit called "Constitution Party" (primarily in Colorado, Montana, and western Pennsylvania) kept it on the ballots (as a sort of brand name) to function as an _idiot trap_. That is, it's listed solely in order to attract votes from citizens attempting to vote "independent" but unclear on the concept of how that actually works. Said voters see the word "independent" in close association with nationalism, mark that entry, and never realise they've voted for a party -- and Constitution Party gets their vote. In this way, Constitution Party remained (albeit under a different name) permanently on the California ballot and in the public's eye, even though they had nothing like the 1% registration statewide that's required to be _added_ to the ballot: State law requires that a returning party merely never fall below 1/15% of state registered voters in any subsequent general election, and accidental votes from morons helped Constitution Party stick around. I say "remained", because, in 2006, Constitution Party split because candidates in several states cautiously allowed as how abortions _might_ be justified in cases of rape, incest, and abortions performed to save the life of the mother, leading to a big fight and numerous states' parties disaffiliating because the central organisation isn't wacko enough. The California branch is one of the many that left, and re-dubbed itself "America's Independent Party". _It_ now operates the ex-Wallace American Independent Party "franchise" within California. (Repeal the income tax, and protect our Precious Bodily Fluids!) http://www.selfgovernment.us/ http://www.ballot-access.org/2008/08/26/keyes-wins-california-lawsuit-on-pro... (Post-2008, 'America's Independent Party', the tiny reactionary faction controlling the AIP brand in California, appears to have renamed itself a second time to 'America's Party'.) The actual American Independent Party was a one-shot party formed to back southern racist George C. Wallace's presidential campaign where Wallace primarily opposed racial integration, favoured reducing the size and influence of the US Federal government, and pledged to either win the Vietnam War in 90 days or withdraw all troops. The party fell apart at the end of the 1968 campaign (that elected Republican candidate Richard Nixon), but AIP remained an entry on the California ballot because of the rules I describe -- an artifact of voter statistics. I mentioned long ago in the prior thread that my state of California recognises six political parties: o American Independent Party (the idiot bait), http://www.aipca.org/ o Democratic Party, http://www.cadem.org/ o Green Party, http://www.cagreens.org/ o Libertarian Party, http://ca.lp.org/ o Peace and Freedom Party, http://www.peaceandfreedom.org/ o Republican Party, https://www.cagop.org/ Minor parties in general are discussed briefly at the end of this post. What is 'independent', in this context? It means the voter has declined to provide any party affiliation to the county registrar of voters. California officials refer to such a voter as a 'no party preference' voter (formerly 'decline-to-state' or 'non-partisan'). Basically, when registering to vote, you are asked 'Do you wish to state a party preference?' You check either 'yes' or 'no'. Under 'yes', there are six choices of party as shown in the LA Times graphic -- one of which is AIP. Thus, AIP is an idiot trap. And 3% of the California's registered voters fall for it. Why would an intelligent California voter _truly_ register independent (i.e., no party preference)? I cannot for the life of me figure out a single compelling reason, as doing so has no functional advantage. As an interesting quirk, three of California's parties permit no-party-preference voters to vote their ballots, and three do not. For details: http://linuxmafia.com/pipermail/conspire/2016-April/008422.html Given the USA's severe (and little-recognised) Duvenger's Law problem, at any given time over the centuries there have almost always been just _two_ dominant political parties that win almost all elections -- except on some interesting occasions where 'party realignments' occurred, and sometimes entire parties fragmented and dissolved. o Federalist Party (1792): lost strength when its leaders died around 1800, never regained power. Discredited and dissolved in 1815 because of a fatal political faux pas: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hartford_Convention o Democratic-Republican Party (1799): Thomas Jefferson's party, rival to the Federalists, and opposed to strong central government power. Splintered in 1824 over a highly dysfunctional Presidential election where the Electoral College deadlocked and Congress had to pick a President and VP (widely condemned as a 'corrupt bargain'). One fragment (that backed former general and charismatic populist Andrew Jackson) became the Democratic Party (1832), which survives, much changed, to this day. The other became the Whig Party (1833). o Whig Party (1833): Received diverse collections of Andrew Jackson opponents. Self-destructed over the slavery issue in 1856. The anti-slavery northern faction split off as the Republican Party[1] (launched in 1854). The pro-slavery southern faction briefly split off (1845) as a nationalist/nativist party under a series of now-obscure names and is now commonly known as the Know Nothing Party, which dissolved during the American Civil War (1861-1865) over slavery. I assume former members in the South mostly became southern Democrats, an odd regionalism that persisted until the late 20th Century. The American Civil War left two surviving major political parties, the same ones that exist today (Democratic and Republican) -- though the tenets of both have changed _very_ radically since 1865. The legacy of slavery did not go away, of course, and a major realignment _without_ party dissolution occurred after President Lyndon B. Johnson (Democrat, and from Texas) coaxed Congress to pass the Voting Rights Act of 1865, enacting long-overdue major protections of voting rights, and mostly having the effect of [re-]enfranchising black voters in the South.[2] According to legend, President Johnson said to observers when he signed the bill that it would cost the Democratic Party the South for a generation. If anything, he underestimated. Southern Democrats slowly trickled to the Republican Party after '65, and moved there en-masse under Ronald Reagan (1980s). Part of the reason the partisan divide has become so intense and angry is a growing (and IMO correct) perception that the Republican Party has become (starting in the Reagan era) the party of racism and xenophobia, starting with its absorption of most Southern Democrats. But the greater part is, of course, the Republican Party veering ideologically away from the mainstream more generally under the influence of Tea Party radicals, while Democratic Party politics has changed very little since, say, around 1970, remaining fractious and diverse.[3] Meanwhile, there _have_ been a number of interesting _minor_ political parties. Although kept from winning significant numbers of political office races by the distortive effect of first-past-the-post voting (Duvenger's Law), they have had a vital role in promoting ideas later adopted by the major parties. For example, several democratic-socialist parties, sometimes regional, sometimes national, promoted the idea of nationally organised old-age, survivors', and disability insurance for at least 20-30 years before President Franklin D. Roosevelt signed the Social Security Act into law in 1935. Pretty much every significant social welfare, social insurance, or political reform idea traces back to one or more of these now-obscure minor parties. Mr. Bernie Sanders, whom I intend to vote for in the California Democratic Party primary election on June 7th (and who will lose nomination to Hillary Clinton, later this summer), describes himself as a 'democratic socialist', which is basically just branding and owes to some of his fights with the Democratic Party establishment earlier in his career. Notably, though, the term 'socialist' is political poison in many parts of the USA, where low-information voters cannot quite get their minds around the reality of mixed economies, and cannot disambiguate 'socialist' from 'Communist'. Sad. [1] Its nickname 'Grand Old Party' or GOP originated in a bit of passing publicity in 1875, even though the USA's Democratic Party is, in fact, 22 years older. [2] It's not for nothing that several black Americans I know, who were born around 1965-6, were named 'Lyndon' by their parents. [3] Thus, early 20th Century entertainment figure and political humourist Will Rogers's famous quip: 'I am not a member of any organized political party. I'm a Democrat.' https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Will_Rogers

Correcting, in case anyone was confused:
The legacy of slavery did not go away, of course, and a major realignment _without_ party dissolution occurred after President Lyndon B. Johnson (Democrat, and from Texas) coaxed Congress to pass the Voting Rights Act of 1865, enacting long-overdue major protections of voting rights, and ^^^^ mostly having the effect of [re-]enfranchising black voters in the South.[2] According to legend, President Johnson said to observers when he signed the bill that it would cost the Democratic Party the South for a generation. If anything, he underestimated. Southern Democrats slowly trickled to the Republican Party after '65, and moved there en-masse under Ronald Reagan (1980s).
Er, 1965. A hypothetical USA with a (enforced) Voting Rights Act in 1865 would make an interesting bit of alternate history fiction. In _our_ timeline, FWIW, the victorious North that won the American Civil War in 1865, under the dominant Republican Party, enforced the rights of black voters diligently as part of 'Reconstruction', the gradual re-empowering of the rebellious southern states' governments, until the disputed presidential election of 1876, which once again deadlocked the Electoral College and threw the election to Congress. The deadlock was resolved by Congressional Republicans agreeing to end Reconstruction (and in return getting the 1876 Presidency), which basically betrayed southern black voters and condemned them to 70+ years of state and local laws enforcing racial segregation, and laws and extralegal politics intimidating or bureaucratically discouraging blacks from voting, the 'Jim Crow' era: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Crow_laws Part of what ended 'Jim Crow' was mass migration of blacks out of the South to take industrial war-industries jobs elsewhere in the USA during WWII. But the rest of it took the Civil Rights Movement of the 1950s-1960s to expunge -- and of course it's not entirely done, either, e.g.: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Crow_laws#New_Jim_Crow

I wrote:
I mentioned long ago in the prior thread that my state of California recognises six political parties:
o American Independent Party (the idiot bait), http://www.aipca.org/ o Democratic Party, http://www.cadem.org/ o Green Party, http://www.cagreens.org/ o Libertarian Party, http://ca.lp.org/ o Peace and Freedom Party, http://www.peaceandfreedom.org/ o Republican Party, https://www.cagop.org/
To give perspective (including how little the minor parties matter), here were California's voting figures from November 2012's general election (that re-elected President Obama), in order of vote count: Electoral College Party Vote % Votes Votes Candidates ----- ------ ----- ----------- --------- Democratic 60.2 7,854,285 55 Barack Obama/Joe Biden Republican 37.1 4,839,956 0 Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan Libertarian 1.1 143,221 0 Gary Johnson/Jim Gray Green 0.7 85,638 0 Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala Peace/Freedom 0.4 53,824 0 Roseanne Barr/Cindy Sheehan AIP 0.3 38,372 0 Thomas Hoefling/Robert Ornelas [write-in] 0.2 21,461 0 Ron Paul/Andrew Napolitano Everything below that point was a write-in campaign garnering fewer than 1000 votes. For 2016's June 7th _primary_ (not general) election, California's Republican Party awards _all_ the state's 172 delegates (7% of those available nationwide) as pledged delegates bound to vote (on the first ballot at the Republican convention) for whichever candidate has a _plurality_ of votes. At the moment, Donald Trump is expected to take all of those -- which, along with yesterday's big winnings in New York State puts him suddenly in reach of the nomination. Above (Republican 2016 primary) would be a very rare case of people actually caring about a California primary election: Even though its voting strength is greatest of all the states, California's June polling date is normally too late in the election cycle to matter. On the Democratic primary election side,... well, it hardly matters this time -- as usual -- because Hillary Clinton will have the nomination sewn up well before California votes on June 7th. But, for the record, California's 475 pledged delegates, 12% of the pledged delegates nationwide, are divided into some awarded by Congressional district and others awarded statewide, among all candidates getting at least 15% of the vote. The Congressional district delegates are awarded proportional to vote in each distrct, and the others proportional to vote statewide. In addition to the 475 pledged delegates, there are 73 unpledged delegates, party leaders and elected officials, free to vote for anyone at the Democratic convention. Recent polls show Clinton leading Sanders (my candidate) by about 6-14% in California.

Rick Moen via luv-talk wrote:
It has to do with the concept of 'voting independent', and a minor and extremely far-right party whose name is 'American Independent Party' (hereinafter, 'AIP').
Ah, you're way ahead of me, right? Almost every California voter since 1968 who ever registered AIP, did so in the mistaken belief he/she was registering 'independent'.
OK so here I don't "register to vote", because compulsory voting. Some other government department (the ATO?) dobs me in to the AEC. Are you saying that in addition to your name and citizen ID, you also have to tell the government *in advance* who you're going to vote for? Doesn't that completely defeat the point of a secret ballot? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voter_registration_in_the_United_States#Party_... AH, THAT PART IS OPTIONAL.

Quoting Trent W. Buck (trentbuck@gmail.com):
OK so here I don't "register to vote", because compulsory voting. Some other government department (the ATO?) dobs me in to the AEC.
Are you saying that in addition to your name and citizen ID, you also have to tell the government *in advance* who you're going to vote for?
No, at least not substantively. Individual ballot results for all elections, primary[1], general, and special, are all required to be kept secret by law, i.e., information about whom an individual voter chose is absolutely not available to anyone, zealously guarded by county and state election officials, and IIRC made impossible to reconstruct (by destruction of ballots) soon after each ballot box is certified and entered into totals. The fact that a named voter has indicated to election officials a specific party affiliation AKA 'preference' (which as you note is optional, but a game-theoretical smart move) is, by contrast, public information. E.g., the fact that I am registered Democratic Party can be looked up in California's and San Mateo County's public records. The fact that Emma Stone, Demi Moore, and a bunch of other nitwit celebrities _accidentally_ registered themselves AIP (because they're stupid) is likewise public data, hence their recent mocking by the _LA Times_ and subsequent fumbled excuse-making. But this doesn't actually tell you whom Demi Moore, Emma Stone, etc. ever voted for -- not at all -- only which set of primary election candidates they were eligible to vote for, at the time you checked the voter rolls. Knowing that I'm registered Democratic would strongly suggest to you that I'll probably vote for either Clinton or Sanders in the June 7th California primary election (though there are also several other minor Democratic Party candidate on that ballot, and IIRC write-ins are also permitted). But you wouldn't know which one, except I've said I'm a Sanders support -- albeit a voter worried about fallout (bosses, family, trade unions, etc.) from a selection is perfectly free to lie. Or to say nothing, because after all it's nobody else's business. Nor would you have more than a hunch about whom I'd vote for in the November general election, where any voter may vote for any entry on the ballot, or for write-ins. But you could certainly guess I'd vote Clinton, and would be correct. [1] I think I might have mentioned that the 'caucus' method used by some states such as Nevada instead of a primary election does tend to prevent secret balloting, which is deemed a huge and damning flaw in that method (unless modified to render the voting phase at the end of caucusing secret, as the Nevada Republican Party does to its credit and the Nevada Democratic Party does not). This is part of the reason why the caucus method has become rarer over the country's electoral history.

Quoting Trent W. Buck (trentbuck@gmail.com):
OK so here I don't "register to vote", because compulsory voting. Some other government department (the ATO?) dobs me in to the AEC.
Courtesy of the Wikipedia link you posted, I just learned California and West Virginia just joined Oregon in making voter registration automatic for anyone taking out a state driver license (US usage) / driving licence (UK usage) or state ID card -- which, by the way, many poor citizens lack[0], with implications for 'voter ID laws'[1] lately adopted in right-wing states fearing the ongoing demographic shift slowly taking power away from old white guys with money. Obviously, this is way overdue. Automatic voter registration is self-evidently a good idea, which is why conservatives oppose it. ;-> To be more accurate, they fear with some justification that expanding the franchise to its proper full extent would merely increase the pool of liberal Democratic Party voters. This is also why conservative factions, backed by a shrinking older and overwhelmingly white demographic, have been adopting increasingly transparent voter disenfranchisement measures, such as 'voter ID laws', closing of most polling stations in districts hostile to them, etc., in order to hold onto power at any cost (including legitimacy). This in turn makes the pre-existing partisan divide even more bitter and the eventual future reckoning probably more savage. The late Justice Antonin Scalia was key to this naked power grab: He was the key fifth vote in a US Supreme Court decision[2] last year invalidating Section 4(b) of the 1965 Voter Rights Act requiring certain (mostly southern) states with a history of wrongful voter disenfranchisement to get 'preclearance' from the Federal Justice Department before changing their voting laws. _Immediately_ after this 5-4 decision -- where the majority claimed this supervision was (in effect) outdated and no longer needed -- six states primarily targeted by Section 4(b) passed various 'voter ID' and gerrymandering measures blatantly aimed at disenfranchising Hispanic and black voters. This is part of why Scalia's death and House of Representatives Republicans' refusal to even consider Obama appointees to that seat: They aren't even trying any longer to conceal their measures to retain power by tipping the scales. They have no Plan B except to double down and cheat harder. (There is actually no such thing as a national ID card in the USA, though a passport would technically qualify but is possessed by few. State driver licences form a de-facto national ID card that happens to be issued in slightly different flavours by 51 independent jurisdications.) [0] Or there are minor discrepancies between a name on the driver license and the same name as known to the registrar of voters, etc. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voter_ID_laws_in_the_United_States [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shelby_County_v._Holder
participants (2)
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Rick Moen
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Trent W. Buck