Re: [luv-talk] Refugees (was Re: Vale Nelson Mandela)

From: Petros
In the absence of a clearly articulated and worked out alternate policy,
First, there must be a problem that requires drastic measurements as infinite detention and violation of International obligations?
Can you explain this problem to me first?
You may recall that Labour came to power in a blaze of moral righteousness, saying they would have a humane refugee policy. Numbers increased dramatically with no end in sight to exponential growth. [By the way, the Greens ridiculed the notion that the policy change would increase the numbers of boat people markedly. They were proven utterly wrong.] So they tightened policy. It seemed to me that they eventually muddled into an incompetently executed version of the Howard/Abbott policies. Now why would they do this? Some people argue that they listened to the polls and, being cynical uncaring fiends, decided to sacrifice the refugees in order to buy votes. Personally, while I was no fan of Rudd or Gullard, I do not think they are that heartless. I just think they were mugged by reality. What reality? That there are about *20,000,000* refugees around the world, many of whom would come to Australia if they could. There are *billions* of people who live in very poor countries, and polls suggest that a *third( or more of them would move to a rich country if they could. As one indication, in 2008 there were over 13,000,000 applicants for the green card lottery to get into the USA - even though the odds are very low. So the problem is that unrestricted immigration implies huge numbers of people coming to Australia. The implications can be enormous: housing shortages, unemployment, breakdown of our ability to fund the welfare state, etc. OK you may not accept this scenario. Fine, but where is a solid analysis that shows it is wrong. As far as I can see, all the evidence suggests it is basically correct. Or you may say that this is acceptable, because the need of these people is so great. The need of these people outweighs the harm to the locals. I think that is a very defensible view. Why should we in Australia have such a high standard of living while millions of people die of starvation and hunger each year? Should we not be prepared to accept a big cut in our standard of living to help those people? What I have been asking for is this: What is your specific policy proposal for immigration, including refugees? Where is your analysis of the implications of your policy? And a statement that the implications are X and I accept those implications for these reasons. I accept the cogency of the arguments that we should do far more for poor people (whether increasing immigration is the right way to do this I am unsure). But I find I am not prepared to drastically reduce my own standard of living to implement this insight. I find few people are. Anyone on the mailing list who donates more than say 40% of their income to such causes is welcome to speak up at this point, but there are very few such people. This is embarrassing. We know what we should do if we value other people's welfare as much as our own. But we don't do it. The obvious conclusion is that we don't value other people's welfare as much as our own. I would also suggest that anyone who wants to demand that the Australian people accept a large cut in their living standard, should demonstrate their bona fides by, for example, showing that they currently donate a large slab of their income to such causes. Otherwise people can rightly say that talk is cheap. When you look at other contentious issue, such as global warming, there are plenty of resources that analyze the issue and possible solutions in detail. This issue is different, which is very interesting. Google searches uncover much moral posturing, but little else.

On Sat, 18 Jan 2014, Tim Josling wrote:
From: Petros
In the absence of a clearly articulated and worked out alternate policy,
First, there must be a problem that requires drastic measurements as infinite detention and violation of International obligations?
Can you explain this problem to me first?
What reality? That there are about *20,000,000* refugees around the world, many of whom would come to Australia if they could.
If you like, browse through the refugee statistics as provided by the UNHCR, e.g. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_refugee_population You will find the vast majority are not about to run over Australia anytime soon. The refugee population in the neighbouring countries is tiny compared to other regions of the world. Furthermore, it is much harder to reach Australia than other parts f the world. The perception is based on pure fear and is completely irrational. Our _controlled_ intake of refugees was reduced under Abbott, the refugee population is less of 1:1000 of Australia's population. (example Germany: 1:144) We also keep reducing our foreign aid, the last cut is just a few days old. If we cannot effort it, who can? Pakistan or Kenya are much better placed to deal with hundred thousands of people. Oh, I nearly forgot to mention that the many of the refugees originate from conflicts where we helped to establish law and order or democracy or whatever it was (Afghanistan, Iraq, Somalia) But, thanks to Shire sherriff Morrison we can forget that all. No, don't mention the war. Apropos the word war: we had them in Afghanistan and Iraq. We do not have them here (not against terrorists, not against people smugglers or whatever). Exagerating problems to "war" helps to proclaim "extraordinary times" which need special means. It erodes our democracy. Assange is sitting for years now in an embassy - there wasn't a blib of proper support by the governments which is supposed to look after its citicens abroad. Besides of this it's all fine. Regards Peter

On Sun, January 19, 2014 10:55 pm, Peter wrote:
If you like, browse through the refugee statistics as provided by the UNHCR, e.g. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_refugee_population
Interesting table. For starters it suggests that the world refugee population is 10 million, not the 20 million previously cited, and half of those are Palestinians. -- Lev Lafayette, BA (Hons), GradCertTerAdEd (Murdoch), GradCertPM, MBA (Tech Mngmnt) (Chifley) mobile: 0432 255 208 RFC 1855 Netiquette Guidelines http://www.ietf.org/rfc/rfc1855.txt

On Sun, Jan 19, 2014 at 10:55 PM, Peter wrote:
If you like, browse through the refugee statistics as provided by the UNHCR, e.g. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_refugee_ population
You will find the vast majority are not about to run over Australia anytime soon. The refugee population in the neighbouring countries is tiny compared to other regions of the world. Furthermore, it is much
harder to reach Australia than other parts f the world.
Surely you don't think that geographic proximity on its own is a serious impediment to the flow of refugees to Australia? It is nearly 7,000 km from Sri Lanka and 9.500 km from Afghanistan to Australia but significant numbers get here in spite of the many difficult obstacles that we put up. If you are proposing an open door policy then any refugee who can come up with $2k by one means or another (eg a loan from a relative or a loan shark) would have the chance to fly here. As Melissa Parke from the Greens pointed out in her speech, we make it difficult for refugees to come here by airplane. According to the same Ms Parke, the Greens' policy is to increase the quota and to accept every refugee who arrives here by boat. Impediments to arriving by air would apparently be retained (not stated, but implied). As we saw when the ALP liberalized policy, this would result in a massive increase in arrivals by boat. You, and others, are confusing the numbers who show up in a regime of great impediments with the numbers who would show up when the impediments are removed. The fact that the Greens would retain impediments to arriving by plane reflects this fact. Tim

On Tue, February 11, 2014 4:50 pm, Tim Josling wrote:
As Melissa Parke from the Greens pointed out in her speech, we make it difficult for refugees to come here by airplane. According to the same Ms Parke, the Greens' policy is to increase the quota and to accept every refugee who arrives here by boat.
[[Citation needed]] -- Lev Lafayette, BA (Hons), GradCertTerAdEd (Murdoch), GradCertPM, MBA (Tech Mngmnt) (Chifley) mobile: 0432 255 208 RFC 1855 Netiquette Guidelines http://www.ietf.org/rfc/rfc1855.txt

On Tue, February 11, 2014 4:50 pm, Tim Josling wrote:
As Melissa Parke from the Greens ....
Also, you may wish to rethink that one. -- Lev Lafayette, BA (Hons), GradCertTerAdEd (Murdoch), GradCertPM, MBA (Tech Mngmnt) (Chifley) mobile: 0432 255 208 RFC 1855 Netiquette Guidelines http://www.ietf.org/rfc/rfc1855.txt

On Sat, 18 Jan 2014, Tim Josling wrote:
From: Petros
What I have been asking for is this: What is your specific policy proposal for immigration, including refugees? Where is your analysis of the implications of your policy? And a statement that the implications are X and I accept those implications for these reasons.
There are better ways of dealing with it. Some of them are even discussed in parliament (e.g. by Melissa Parkes who I mentioned before). Refugees for regional development: We have skilled migration programs. People who do not qualify can apply to get a visa excluding wortk in Metroplotean areas for the first years. We have regional shortages in some regions - and a need to decentralize our population. Camps help local communities. They are job providers and welcome there. Instead of locking up people (please explain what we will do with them in Nauru or PNG?) infinitely, we can establish a routine and timeframe which is balanced on needs to run security checks, as well as helping refugees to adapt and train to fit into our society. Running the internal affairs while in the camp (e.g. cook for themself, build houses etc.) helps them - and maks it cheaper for us too. The camps in PNG and Nauru are ridiculous expensive and absolutely useless. Studies show that immigration is an economical long term win for developed countries. Another means is the establishment of a "wealth belt" which makes it less likely people want to go "all the way" to Australia. People take the risk of the boats even if they end up in Nauru now (they know it now), it is better than dying in a war zone after all. We see our neighbours still like a colonial power and are interested in mining and plantation exploits only - our contribution to establish sustainable growth in PNG (e.g.) is small. The European Union has spread material wealth significantly since foundation in the 50ies. People stop coming in troves when their home countries are stable societies and offer hope.
I would also suggest that anyone who wants to demand that the Australian people accept a large cut in their living standard, should demonstrate their bona fides by, for example, showing that they currently donate a large slab of their income to such causes.
Otherwise people can rightly say that talk is cheap.
"These people" usually use some of their income to support causes deemed worthy.
When you look at other contentious issue, such as global warming, there are plenty of resources that analyze the issue and possible solutions in detail. This issue is different, which is very interesting. Google searches uncover much moral posturing, but little else.
Well, I mentioned some of the suggstions before. To ignore them is convenient. It is as I would play peek-a-boo wih a three years old;-) Regards Peter
participants (3)
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Lev Lafayette
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Peter
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Tim Josling