Quoting russell@coker.com.au (russell@coker.com.au):
With the significant exception of farm workers. Following the Brexit vote agricultural companies have speculated about moving some of their business to Europe. Apparently if they have to pay the sorts of wages needed to get people born in the UK to do farm work then they can't sell the produce at current prices.
What I mostly mean is that most of the UK remains lily-white and of old-British-nationality ethnic descent across society as a whole, in turn helped lead Brexit voters into the mistake of thinking that the bloody foreigners needed them more than they needed the bloody foreigners. Unfortunately they were then able to muster the voting strength to try out their (mistaken) hypothesis. That level of delusive belief is much more difficult to achieve in the USA, because of far lower homogeneity, and AFAIK a voting mandate to that effect is numerically impossible. (I was certainly not intending to suggest that the Brexiteers' grasp of economics was realistic about farm workers or anything else.) BTW, Charlie Stross has some recent dystopian projections about ruin likely to be caused if May pushes the Article 50 button: http://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2016/10/facts-of-life-and-death....
It's not just the core demographic. Trump has lots of fans outside his core demographic. There are more than a few young well-educated Australians who are fans of Trump.
In context, I was speaking of the USA electorate. There, Trump has so far negligible buy-in from any non-white ethnic group (black, Hispanic, east Asian, etc.), and also negligible buy-in from women voters -- none of these being idiots, and women being the one truly indispensible voting group of those tracked, and also the one with reliably high turnout. His powerfully offending even _conservative_ women is what finally utterly doomed his candidacy, in the view of most commenters in the press. (Who, of course, the Trumpistas dismiss in an orgy of epistemic closure.) I also hear that the Christian Right / Evangelical voting bloc has fallen into ruins over the last couple of months, as Evangelical voters, particularly the younger ones, have finally staged rebellion against their Trump-supporting leadership and refused to back the short-fingered vulgarian.
It's funny, the reports I've read concern Trump surrogates struggling to explain his position (which changes constantly), a general lack of focus on the election (taking time off to open a new hotel), and poor fundraising strategy (failing to support the Republican party). Most of that isn't the organisation's fault as they can't control Trump. But the reports suggest that it's not possible for them to persue good tactics.
Well, I can only repeat what I've been hearing, and can see no better tactic for his camp at this late stage than to try to calumnify Secretary Clinton so thoroughly that large swaths of her natural constituency stay home. He's already bouced hard off his 'ceiling' and isn't likely to sway many undecided voters at this point (who? fishermen swept out to sea a year ago? hermits?), so the logical alternative is to try to lower the 'floor' of Clinton's support.